tmoore

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So far tmoore has created 94 blog entries.

T&C | Episode 39: Whack-a-Moron

2022-08-25T17:51:27+00:00

We look at the situation facing the Fed as the market anxiously awaits comments from Jackson Hole. With student debt forgiveness and the misnamed Inflation Reduction Act renewing fiscal stimulus, can the Fed engineer a soft landing? We also analyze the divergence between the favorable technical setup versus stretched valuations. Finally, we recap the most recent round of meme stock mania which, thankfully, we watched from the sidelines.

T&C | Episode 39: Whack-a-Moron2022-08-25T17:51:27+00:00

T&C | Episode 38: August 32nd

2022-08-09T13:25:20+00:00

In a market that makes about as much sense as August having an extra day, we examine the reasons for the strong equity returns in July and the incongruent views the market currently has on rates versus earnings expectations. We also discuss the squeeze consumers are feeling as savings rates decline and credit card debt expands.

T&C | Episode 38: August 32nd2022-08-09T13:25:20+00:00

Market Commentary – Everything’s Coming Up – August, 2022

2022-08-05T00:14:16+00:00

Investors felt a little like Milhouse in July because despite a deluge of bad economic and inflation data, equity markets still posted strong returns. We will look at both the news flow and the market’s reaction; and where it might all go from here in this Milhouse-inspired update.

Market Commentary – Everything’s Coming Up – August, 20222022-08-05T00:14:16+00:00

T&C | Episode 37: Head Fake or Head Butt?

2022-07-25T12:58:07+00:00

After a brief hiatus, Will and Adam return to talk about the market’s welcome recent rebound. Is it a head fake or will the bad news is good news narrative continue? Higher inflation and restrictive Fed policy have the potential to head butt investors, but the technical set-up remains favorable.

T&C | Episode 37: Head Fake or Head Butt?2022-07-25T12:58:07+00:00

Market Commentary – Myth Busting – July, 2022

2022-07-12T21:01:22+00:00

As referenced on our recent podcast, there is a modicum of excitement around Top Gun: Maverick. The original is iconic, in part due to its legendary soundtrack, including Danger Zone, by the unofficial king of soundtracks, Kenny Loggins.

Market Commentary – Myth Busting – July, 20222022-07-12T21:01:22+00:00

Market Commentary – Danger Zone – June, 2022

2022-06-07T22:04:49+00:00

As referenced on our recent podcast, there is a modicum of excitement around Top Gun: Maverick. The original is iconic, in part due to its legendary soundtrack, including Danger Zone, by the unofficial king of soundtracks, Kenny Loggins.

Market Commentary – Danger Zone – June, 20222022-06-07T22:04:49+00:00

T&C | Episode 36: Unremarkable Edge

2022-05-31T19:13:58+00:00

Are equity markets still in the danger zone? Join Will, Adam, and Kenny Loggins (well, two of the three) as they discuss the brief bear market, what is fueling the recent rebound, and whether we are in for more turbulence. Can the Fed engineer a soft landing, or will it crash and burn? Be our wingman as we explore these topics and more.

T&C | Episode 36: Unremarkable Edge2022-05-31T19:13:58+00:00

T&C | Episode 35: Frowned Upon

2022-05-20T17:22:17+00:00

Investors are certainly frowning upon the Fed’s recent comments. We explore large caps trading like small caps, how inflation is affecting consumer behavior and how companies are responding. We also delve into prior periods of market distress to look for signs as to how far along the current drawdown may be.

T&C | Episode 35: Frowned Upon2022-05-20T17:22:17+00:00

Market Commentary – Indiana Jones – May, 2022

2022-05-09T22:04:21+00:00

I said no camels. That’s five camels…Can’t you count? Before we get to the elephant, well, camel, in the room, which is a historically bad April for equities, let us look at one of the root causes: The Federal Reserve. More specifically, investors tend to view rate increases like camels: fewer is better. Going into the meeting, we were expecting over ten…by December. The Fed made good on two (2) at the May meeting, bringing the count to three (3) hikes so far, with eight (8) more anticipated.

Market Commentary – Indiana Jones – May, 20222022-05-09T22:04:21+00:00

T&C | Episode 34: Whole Grain, Gluten Free

2022-05-05T17:18:39+00:00

The market’s recent selloff is in focus. Can the Fed be seen as slightly accommodative while still getting a handle on inflation, or is that just as impossible as our title? What are the effects of the war in Ukraine and Chinese lockdowns on inflation, and how big are they as building blocks of the current wall of worry? We also discuss the parts of our investment strategy that become more important in this environment.

T&C | Episode 34: Whole Grain, Gluten Free2022-05-05T17:18:39+00:00