Tea and Crumpets

T&C | Episode 49: Too Hot for Forbes

We discuss the topic on everyone’s mind, Silicon Valley Bank, and delve into the reasons for its failure and potential consequences. Who’s to blame, who’s not, and what comes next?

March 14th, 2023|

NYSE Issuer Spotlight – Formidable ETF’s

Formidable was founded in 2013 as a wealth management firm. Our CEO and founder, Will Brown, wanted to bring a differentiated, active approach to the RIA space. When developing client portfolios, we were unsatisfied with solutions we saw in the market, especially in the alternatives space.

March 1st, 2023|

T&C | Episode 48: The New Nas-quack

We look at the self-proclaimed new Nasdaq, a.k.a., Ark, as emblematic of the ferocious return of speculation in 2023. We also look at the behavior of meme stock speculators and debate the role the Fed may or may not in fomenting speculation as it (and we) debate how restrictive policy is versus how restrictive it needs to be.

February 10th, 2023|

T&C | Episode 47: Molotov Policy

Will and Adam discuss the challenges faced by the Fed as it sees financial conditions easing despite its efforts to restrict monetary policy. We also analyze the health of the consumer in the world of high interest rates, low savings rates, and increasing levels of debt. The unprecedented collapse in money supply growth, and the recent spike in velocity, are addressed as well.

January 30th, 2023|

T&C | Episode 46: 2022: The Beyond Meat Grinder

We review a challenging 2022, capped off by a December to forget for those looking for a Santa rally. The causes (Fed policy, rampant retail speculation) and effects (multiple compression, sizable capital losses) are analyzed, along with some perspective on how we are preparing for 2023.

January 3rd, 2023|

T&C | Episode 45: Enthusiastic Meh

We give an enthusiastic meh to 2022, an anomalous year in so many ways: stocks and bonds both lower, the Fed raising rates at a historic pace, and geopolitical turmoil. We also delve into the Fed’s inflation versus recession conundrum, the consequences of capital once again having a cost, and what 2023 may hold based on our top-down process.

December 9th, 2022|


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