T&C | Episode 21: Flashing is good?


We ignore the flashing red light on the microphone, just like markets have been ignoring any number of warning signs. We discuss the bond market (or lack thereof), explore the conflicting signals sent by treasury yields, and the explore the inexplicable appetite for the currently misnamed high-yield debt. The bifurcation of equity returns between megacap and the rest is discussed, as are the potential effects of the delta variant on supply chains. We also discover Will and Adam were, unsurprisingly, both in high school Latin clubs. Caveat emptor.

T&C | Episode 21: Flashing is good?2021-07-23T13:27:53+00:00

T&C | Episode 20: Bark Twice if You’re in Milwaukee


We bark again about the continued mania in meme stocks, as well as delve into the inflationary pressures building in certain parts of the economy. The massive flows into equities and misnamed “high yield” debt are also topics of conversation, as are looking to the late 1940s and late 1960s as potential playbooks for what might be a choppy remainder of the year.

T&C | Episode 20: Bark Twice if You’re in Milwaukee2021-07-07T13:18:13+00:00

Acacia Research: Undervalued Biotech Tentacles


In this research note, Formidable takes a deep dive into Acacia Research Corporation (NASDAQ: ACTG), which represents an investment opportunity in secondary private equity, as well as patent litigation (its historical bailiwick). See below for the company’s mission statement, pulled from its website.

Acacia Research: Undervalued Biotech Tentacles2021-06-28T12:46:57+00:00

T&C | Episode 19: A Frugal Pair/Lumber vs. Timber/Dilution vs. Delusion


Come aboard. We’re expecting you… We make another run after a technology glitch to discuss the Love Boat’s star-crossed investors, the knife-sharpening industry, and the strange dichotomy between market complacency as a whole versus the mania around retail trading in meme stocks. From there, we delve into a discussion of inflation as reflected in things like lumber and labor. We then debate how a trade can be both right and wrong concurrently and why capital allocation matters for companies in secular decline.

T&C | Episode 19: A Frugal Pair/Lumber vs. Timber/Dilution vs. Delusion2021-06-15T20:59:11+00:00

T&C | Episode 18: Stupider Like a Fox


Will and Adam delve into the return of meme-stock mania and address listener feedback vis-à-vis valuations and geese. They also discuss the circular logic of inflation versus expectations, how the market interprets this, and how the real impact of inflation is often mismeasured, using candy bar sizes. No free samples of a candy line-up will be provided.

T&C | Episode 18: Stupider Like a Fox2021-06-02T15:45:30+00:00

Market Commentary – Picking up Pennies – May, 2021


It came to light last week that I pick up pennies; usually on the sidewalk, sometimes on the soccer pitch, occasionally in the TSA bins at the airport. However, I am not the only one. The revelation took on a life of its own, leading to some friendly wagering on how much one might find over the course of a year.

Market Commentary – Picking up Pennies – May, 20212021-05-13T18:07:39+00:00

T&C | The Market Rips, or A Fortnightly-ish Happening


Will and Adam review the market’s reaction to further fiscal stimulus, lack thereof to proposed tax changes, and compare the Fed’s largesse with the printer to our favorite confetti-throwing comedian. Obligatory discussions of lumber price inflation and employee scarcity also ensue, as does a more somber discussion...

T&C | The Market Rips, or A Fortnightly-ish Happening2021-05-03T18:08:01+00:00