January 2024: Bunny Slope
tmoore2024-01-12T19:59:43+00:00The weather has just now started to reach consistent levels of freezing temperatures, so hopefully soon we will introduce our children to the joys of skiing.
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December 2023: Divorced. Beheaded. Died. Survived.
tmoore2023-12-15T17:12:44+00:00We were in Memphis for Thanksgiving and saw the musical Six, which is about the wives of Henry VIII. Though a polarizing choice in the Eagleston house, we will use it as inspiration for this month’s update. I am going to refrain from putting in links to the songs for the mental health of our readers.
Forbes – Four Things To Review With Your Financial Advisor Before The New Year
tmoore2023-12-12T16:00:54+00:00The end of the year is always a hectic time, and although some argue turning the calendar to a new year is capricious and arbitrary, most people (not to mention Uncle Sam) do not look at it that way. To that end, let’s look at four things you may want to be discussing with your financial advisor before the clock strikes 11:59 on December 31.
November 2023: Gallia est omnis divisa in partes tres
tmoore2023-12-15T17:16:48+00:00Having only recently moved back to Cincinnati, I was a little unprepared for the autumnal gloom that can overwhelm the beauty of the foliage. This became apparent on a jaunt to Pittsburgh for our daughter’s soccer team where, unfortunately, the soundtrack was (and I am only being somewhat hyperbolic here) driver of GDP growth, inspirer of Halloween décor, and destroyer (or would-be savior) of American football, Taylor Swift. We will celebrate her entire catalog (as well as another, older Swift).
T&C | Episode: Passive Observer
tmoore2023-11-22T15:38:20+00:00We revisit the risks associated with passive investing as the Magnificent Seven stocks become even more unmoored from the rest of the S&P 500. We also analyze the likelihood of the Fed engineering a soft landing, why the market may have celebrated a win on inflation too early, and how we are trying to navigate through this challenging environment.
T&C | Episode: Unionized Baristas
tmoore2023-11-09T15:27:54+00:00We talk about the ongoing shift in labor market dynamics and its implications for inflation going forward, which could be “higher-er for longer-er”. The market’s recent rebound, fueled by hopes of a soft landing and a bounce in the most shorted stocks, is also discussed. We also look at concentration of the index in a handful of stocks and compare recent earnings for some of the tech titans to the rosy projections for next year.
T&C | Episode: Backward Pants
tmoore2023-10-30T16:58:12+00:00Will and Adam provide their perspective on the market impact of events in Israel and Gaza, which come at a perilous time from a market perspective with yields reaching psychologically important levels. We also discuss how flows into passive funds have had an outsized impact on the so-called Magnificent Seven stocks and juxtapose their performance (and valuation) versus the rest of the market. Finally, we look at some real-time data on what is happening for economic canaries like shipping and small business.
October 2023: Crucible of War
tmoore2023-10-19T18:24:41+00:00October Update - Key Takeaways • Bond vigilantes pushed U.S Treasuries into a historic decline in September. • The end of 2023 may be a crucible for investors. • Events in the Middle East are eerily similar to prior flashpoints that have devolved into wider conflagrations.
T&C | Episode: One-person Riot
tmoore2023-10-09T15:54:43+00:00In the midst of typical seasonal weakness, we examine the causes for the stock market’s recent volatility, as well as the unprecedented moves in the bond market. We also look at oil’s ability to help the economy to a Goldilocks scenario, how labor unrest is affecting inflation and consumer sentiment, and whether one person can riot.
T&C | Episode: Octoberfest
tmoore2023-09-18T16:35:59+00:00After enjoying the festivities, including a fantastic caricature, we delve into the underappreciated risks associated with both zero-day options and put writing, given the launch of a new ETF that combines the two. We examine the market’s recent reaction to CPI data and the potential for inflation to re-accelerate with soaring oil prices and wage pressure from the current UAW strike.